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XPeng Inc. (XPEV)
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10 year treasury has dropped from 1.6% to around 1.56%. Nasdaq futures are up over a percent too. Could shed some light for tomorrow $TSLA $NIO $XPEV
They are trying to get NIO to hit as close to 30 as possible. This is a $60+ stock even with the recent earnings report...I truly expected 80-100 with a positive ER, but EPS was enough to pull it back. However, the interest rate excuse was enough to instill fear into the market. What I've mentioned many times before...you are investing in NIO for the year 2025 and beyond. NIO will be one of China's darlings that will succeed partly due to national pride and the obvious adoption of EVs across the country. I had added more shares yesterday just under at under 33 and did not buy any more today. Tomorrow I plan to buy more at opportune dips of $NIO under 38 and $XPEV under 30. The manipulation of tech stocks is a familiar stench. Institutions love wearing people out over a couple of weeks and then price shoots right up after they've mentally exhausted you & your patience. Long investors just accumulating the cheap shares and simply HODL. Keep buying. Keep holding.
I definitely don’t know everything and don’t know where the bottom is. I did buy $NIO Friday , bought $XPEV and $PLUG today. Could it go down more? Probably but if there is more than 50% upside based on price targets and all at 50% of 52 week high to me seems like buy time . Once this all dies down would rather be the dude that bought before the upswing instead of waiting for it to go up 30% to buy .
Very cautious volume in premarket. But I expect a very quick move upwards when buyers move in and fomo/short squeeze plays out. I expect NIO to return to mid 45 range sometime this week. The drama is over with the selloffs of tech stocks. Friday I expected things to taper off and market did begin finding its bottom. Today, I expect things to come up significantly. Very possible for NIO to come back above 40 today, especially with $XPEV having a good revenue in their ER and it's up $3 in premarket already from a low hit below 26 in premarket. I've picked up more shares of $XPEV on Friday when it hit below 26, $NNDM under $7, $NIO under 35, $PLUG under 35, $FRSX under 5, and $NGAC in the low 10s....all of these prices were absolutely ridiculous and the selloff was overblown. No difference to me however, as I see an opportunity like that to help provide liquidity for those that have less conviction on these companies. Long term conviction for me. While it may take a few weeks to get back to 50+ in NIO, any great news or positive sentiment from fellow EV bullish movement from the likes of $TSLA or XPEV make it very possible to return to those levels. Keep in mind, prior to selloff, analysts had provided PPS as $70-80 range for NIO. The 10 year yield is still making people think they need to sell stocks, but S&P has been trying to go positive since last night. If the market is indeed done with the self fulfilling prophecy of this 'correction', we should do well this week to recover and heading back up. Biggest opportunity for all investors this year is now...these stocks are very low and every single one will be more than double in PPS in what you see today within 12 months. Keep buying. Keep holding.
NIO and TESLA BULL
Remember when Trump could just tweet anything and the markets would rise? We need Sleepy Joe to tweet "ayy EV is the future, im the ble man remember guys lmaoooo" and bam, tech futures green. That's why we voted for you, now tweet that you love green energy already. hehehehe
$TSLA $CCIV $WKHS $NIO $XPEV
$XPEV has 5,5Bilion USD in Cash as of Dec. 31 2020 and tremendous YoY growth with 900 Million Revenue expected to reach > 2Billion USD in 2021. Market Cap is < 20 Billion USD.
Highly undervalued stock
I think I’ve loaded up enough $NIO and $XPEV to not feel like I missed out on the next run up. People crying that these are Chinese
Companies and will crash. If the market as a whole is selling off due to Interest rates and fear then investing in Chinese companies
Makes sense as they have a good economy and growth of this eEV stocks would continue regardless of the mess in the US.
Futures are still trying to strike a positive uptick this morning even with the 10 year hitting 1.626 just as the employment numbers got released a few minutes ago. S&P is trying hard to gain back overnight and ignore the trigger of selling by the algo bots (aka manipulation). We need S&P to get above 3800 and break 3850 to show this is more than a rebound. I don't expect a miracle today, but like I said yesterday, I expect a leveling off of the selling and fomo bottom buying. The 10 year yield is above 1.60...and I don't think it's a sustainable level yet...it will drop back a bit...just like it did a week ago. 10 yield should be sitting pretty around 1.42-1.50 range IMO for now...and slowly climb as normalcy returns trickles back. $NIO is going to try to bounce up from the 38-39 support range because $TSLA is going to try bouncing off a strong 600 support. NIO's volume yesterday was staggering. Last time we had volume like yesterday was early January, when we had an influx of buying and sending price up. Hopefully things have balanced out as a result from yesterday's selling. $PLUG has hit a similar support level right below 38 on 2/23 and then yesterday from the same level yesterday. The sentiment among these three alternative energy companies is following the same pattern. $NNDM is at a strong suport that began back in first few days of January as well, not to mention it's at oversold levels. S&P is now up almost 30 points and aiming at breaking 3800 now the drama with 10-yr comes below 1.60. Yesterday, I added more shares of NNDM, NIO, PLUG, $CCIV, $XPEV. A new stock I believe is very discounted is $CLOV and believe it's a good value under $8. The one to really keep an eye also is $NNDM today for me. This is extremely low and can easily climb up to 9-10 level with a market rebound, so it's a great entry under $8. With market coping with acceptance with all of the latest news & numbers, NIO is going to bounce hard above 40 once bullish volume returns, so I highly recommend buying under 40. Once it breaks 39, it will have good momentum to keep moving up. But like I said yesterday, I conservatively expect a tapering off the selling and plateauing out today...if it recovers back up, great...but right now we need the fear selling to stop, which I think it will now. Trust the process: Keep buying. Keep holding.
NIO and TESLA BULL
Everyone who decided to play bull last week by buying that dip I think are fine. But not gonna lie I think people who are holding cash and didn't buy the big DIP created by algos are praying really hard. And I really do believe this, I am willing to bet my left nut that they're praying hard for a red day. But the futures are green.
$TSLA $NIO $WKHS $CCIV $XPEV $LI
#NIO; #XPEV; #TSLA
Two commonly known golden nuggets from legends such as Buffett:
1. Be greedy when others are fearful...
2. Invest in a company you understand and you and other customers love its products...
The first principle may not always work. Not all crashing companies will recover (if not supported by fundamentals), but for Nio the fundamentals are so strong and getting stronger (more sales, more products, more orders, more cash, more partnerships, more government supports...).
The 2nd principle will always work out for true investors. NIO is ranked #1 in luxe EV in China with pristine quality of German engineering and design. Most importantly, it is loved by its loyal customers with the highest customer satisfactions and word-of-mouth free-agent enthusiasm.
I invested in NIO very early, NIO, the car, not the stock, was love at first sight. Even though Nio is not available in the US, I am certain I will be among the first to get one when Nio arrive here.
Have been through this cycle several times. Watching NIO crashing from post IPO high of $11.60 to $1.19, I averaged down. As NIO strengthens its fundamentals continuously, I averaged up and down later. Now, with the super sale prices, I am adding again.
If you believe in NIO's fundamentals, if you love NIO's cars, hold and/or add to your positions.
Do your DD and invest wisely. GLTA.
“We closed 2020 on a strong note, with a record total of 12,964 vehicle deliveries in the 4th quarter, which fueled our robust operational and financial performance throughout the year,” said XPeng Chairman and CEO Mr. He Xiaopeng. $XPEV #Earnings
I'm not concerned about Friday. Powell was the biggest fear factor today and he managed to say just the right arrangement of words to nudge the 10 year yield and it went screaming as if it got slapped. Huge overreaction. I've bought more shares today. The algo bot triggers have already done their part. Now it's just real people trying to daytrade and others looking for the bottom to ride back up to 60+....which will take some time as climbs always take longer than falls without good news. NIO will return. Stay the course. I remember days when it go from $4 to $2. Swings are never fun, but as a long term investor, you have to never sell...and just keep adding more shares when you see a sale. That's it. Other stocks I'm buying more of heavy today are $NNDM, $NGAC, $XPEV, $FRSX...all of these are not getting as much attention as NIO & $TSLA, but they have hit bottom IMO from the fiasco of the last couple of weeks...with the rest of the market also likely trying to rebound. Friday I think will be flat or move upwards. Today's selloff was ridiculous. I'm keeping some funds available on the side just in case, but looking at the Day timeframe charts of all of my watchlist of stocks being oversold for multiple days, everyone wants a recovery now...including all of the institutions that needed to recover from their short losses and get major discounts. Keep buying $NIO (under 40), $NNDM (under $7.70), $PLUG (under 40), $FRSX (under 6.40), $NGAC (under 10.30), $XPEV (under 30), $CCIV (under 25)...and keep holding. All of these are guaranteed to double your money within 12 months...or sooner.
Oil soaring big time. Dumbo traders sold green and alt energy/ ev names at the lows! green energy is going to soar the next few weeks not $tsla: buy $sedg $be $clsk $nio $xpev $li $stpk $vvpr $goev $htoo
NIO and TESLA BULL
If the overall markets are down and the industrial are barely holding. It means for any individual stock, unless it is an outlier, don't be concerned about it's share price declining. The U.S will devalue the dollar before it lets the markets tank. The tech stocks will pick up fast. Concern yourself with sector rotations before you even think about something like bonds and interest rates.
But even the "value" stocks are barely holding up so why should you be concerned with your individual stocks if the entire market is at best "holding on"?
Time to be buying is now.
$TSLA $CCIV $WKHS $LI $XPEV
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
will be green next week. GL $flr $wkhs $ride $clii $xpev $nxpi $fslr. Next bill will be for infrastructure, green, and chip semiconductor.
It’s perplexing to see people sell at these low prices. Goes to show that people blindly invest in companies without doing their DD.
NIO had a solid 4Q2020 ER and with increased Revenue and Vehicle margins. They only lost due to EPS (which they said was mainly due to the weak USD).
- Production ramp up with current JAC-NIO partnership to 150k/1shift and 300k/2shifts by EOY 2021.
- New factory being built by the Heifei Government (completion around Q1/Q2 2022)
- NIO has USD 6.5b in cash at EOY 2020 and raised another ~USD 1.5b in January 21 due to senior convertible notes
- 2nd Gen battery swap (no need for employees being present/also adds to the long term goal of autonomy by allowing cars to automatically drive in and swap) coming out in Q2 2021. SINOPEC partnership was rumoured a lot (not 100% confirmed, but very likely) and this will be a HUGE boost. SINOPEC is one of the biggest oil companies on the planet. One of SINOPEC’s goals (recently announced) has to do with ESG
- EU expansion confirmed for this year starting with Norway
- US expansion confirmed to be in the making (they are developing a business plan/strategy)
- ET7 pre-orders were said to have exceeded expectations (!!!) and higher than any of the preorders of the current 3 models (ES8, ES6, EC6)
- NIO Day 2020 had 100mil views (!!!)
- BaaS take rate for January 2021 was 55% (!!!) a dramatic increase on the previous months
- NIO is increasing investment into RND for the year 2021 to approx USD 1bil. Guess where this money is going into? Autonomous driving (the key and true potential of EV vehicles) and their announced 150kwh SS battery
- Recently announced a new JV with JAC (possibly to address the mass market, as NIO will not enter the mass market with their brand. The NIO brand is exclusively a luxury brand)
- NIO lifestyle (e-commerce) is something to watch for in the future too. I believe this is something deeply overlooked. - Forward guidance was good, unliked with competitors $XPEV and $LI
NIO themselves said that they’ve entered the ‘rapid development stage’ and their goal is to provide the ‘best holistic experience to NIO users’.
There are too many bullish points to look out for with $NIO. This is why I will keep on buying more.
Missed the initial wave when it went $75 figure $39 is a good entry point. Also bought back into $XPEV at $28 , 2021 is the year of the EV nothing has changed just keep loading up on all.
I have no position in NiO I am all in on LI however I do expect great ER from both Nio and XPEV today and next week for the sake of all 3 companies I am with you fellas on this GO $LI $NIO $XPEV
As I watch the $XPEV today I noticed the up and down movement. This movement was because of automatic computer programming. We must understand that the common investor do not have access to that technology. Just give it time and this stock will right itself and go back up.
Even at $600/share, it is actually $3,000/share pre-split. This is why $TSLA will fall a lot more from here. Forget about ARKK, at pre-split, the analysts' target prices were at $150, i.e. $30 post-split.
From $600 to $30, we are talking about 95% drop from here. Hedge funds and insiders are dumping at the same time and this will go down under $50.
Mark my post and you will see this by this summer - $TSLA will miss the earning expectation due to pricing war, higher cost, dump bets on $BTC, no newer model, low demand on cybertruck, analysts downgrades...
Guess what? Even with all these, Musk will stay as a billionaire from other ventures he set it up AND warrants he hold.
Watch out tomorrow and next week, heavy selling from ETFs/tech-driven funds will be dumping a lot more as they haven't started yet. Also, Cathie will be forced to sell as well from higher redemptions.
One advice, buy a bunch of put options on $TSLA, $XPEV, $LI, $NIO, $DRIV, $ARKK, $NKLA, $CCIV and you will be very happy in 2021 and 2022.
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