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iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

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  • c
    cobia
    $SPY conversation
    Ok. Long read here.

    Here is the big picture. Don’t forget it.

    The big/smart money moves into sectors and runs it up. No big secret there.

    Here is what you have to remember about getting out of one if you want to profit and thrive in the long run here.

    NUMBER 1 sector right now is what?

    Energy- of course.

    They actually have everyone believing it will never go down.
    (They almost have me convinced even).

    I have been around along time and been burned chasing momentum money at the tops.

    People will always tell you the trend is your friend.

    Well just use your common sense and avoid this mistake.

    Look at the Markets at the peaks in the fall last year. Everyone was super bullish, it just couldn’t end.

    The likes of NVDA up 200-300% a year.

    Stocks trading at 100-200 times sales. Some never going to make money.

    Now to understand what I mean about energy about having run it’s course.
    Let’s look at the 2 big commodities
    1. Crude peaked at that blow off top in early March. I Doubt we go higher.
    2. Up 5 and 10 percent on most days lately. Fell big Friday. More than 10% if you count it’s high in Pre market.
    And look at the futures trade Friday. Huge negative OBV.
    I will go out on a limb and say that was t he top at 8.99 MBtU.

    Look at the nat gas plays.

    DVN
    EOG
    Dang and the like. Look at the daily charts. Huge crazy spikes each day. DVN up 20% plus in one week.

    Probably the top in those too.
    Everybody piling into OXY just because old Warren is buying. Well he is buying preferred and also is probably hedged. Who know there.

    Last year he piled into VZ at 55. Now it’s 48. So he is not always right.

    Ask your self how did his fund continue to rise while the markets sold off.

    He shorted or hedges. No 2 ways about it.

    No way he was all in Energy and healthcare.

    He says he never bets against America. Whatever, but I bet he knows when to trade the other way. Obviously.

    Now also in my opinion when they start dumping Energy and the “safe” haven plays like high dividend payers. They will rotate back to the other beat down sectors.

    Remember they aren’t here to make 5% a year in dividends.

    We might see a huge rally that last until next earnings season.

    That is the way a bear market works. It goes down quarterly because earnings are reduced each time.

    By the time they admit recession the bottom is in most the time.

    Look back at what the indexes did in the last turn downs.

    I just wanted to tell you what I have learned in 28 years of managing my own money.

    The bear is swift and powerful. He fights ferociously. But he is short lived. It’s amazing what he can devour in a short period of time.

    But don’t stay too long or you will end up like me in February 2009. I just would not accept that he was done. I fought it for along time and lost a lot of capital doing so.

    Greed runs this machine. And long term greed is not a bear, It’s a Bull.

    This coming from a guy that fights seeing the world as a half empty glass kinda place.

    Let’s see what happens in the next month or so.

    $QQQQ
    $IWM
  • L
    Longterm Capital
    Baidu, Inc.
    US REGULATORY OFFICIALS HAVE LANDED IN BEIJING FOR LATE STAGE AUDIT DEAL DISCUSSIONS - SOURCES

    U.S. regulatory officials have arrived in Beijing seeking to settle a long-running dispute over the auditing compliance of U.S.-listed Chinese firms, three people familiar with the matter told Reuters.
    $NTES $QQQ $SPY $IWM $TSLA
  • F
    Francis
    $SPY $DJIA $QQQ $IWM $SPX This is not bottom yet, far from it. $338 is coming. These scam Furus and Hedge funds want you to FOMO in on these spikes so they can flip on you and short it back down. Play their game or get burnt, until then wait for bottom confirmation. 👏👏👏
  • m
    magicyte
    Vinco Ventures, Inc.
    $IWM upswing. Russell upswing. $BTC upswing. The longs are comin' a knockin' shorty
  • T
    Tymur
    Short comment on #AMC. Short's managed to get AMC off the NYSE Threshold list last Friday, not clear exactly how this was done but looks like exposure converted from Fails to Deliver (#FTD) to outright naked shorts and then packaged into the #IWM ETF. I'm really not going to waste more brain power on this. Citadel is a market marker and between them and their "friend" #Virtu control 80% of retail orders. They can more or less dictate price on slow volume days. Allegations of buy orders being delayed as much as 35 days through Citadels data flow. How likely is that? Hard to verify baring an audit, but it is true that dark pool trading accounted for over 65% of volume for the last 5 trading days and over 50% over the last month.

    Meanwhile, retail orders continue to be overwhelmingly buy oriented. The only selling is coming from shorts using the dark pools to mute buying pressure. The short-ladder attacks from last week seem to shifted to a numb inducing slow drip lower.

    The degree of overt manipulation is mind blowing.

    I am told #Citadel employs a team of psych Phd's to design price moves designed to drive retail interest away. The media attacks are clearly not working so the recent price campaign has escalated, driving it from $59 to $39 last week, a brief surge back to $49 and today's slow drip from $46.50 to $42.50 at the close.

    I really think Citadel needs to fire their pysch experts. Most retail is holding and bought large amounts in March. Many likely did sell a small amount in June like I did, to cover their initial investment. For example, I was long at $9.60 and sold at $53.40, enough to cover my buy in and show a decent realized gain. My remaining position is a free rider. The price could go down to $12 and many holders would still be in the money. There were 3.2 million retail holders in March, there are likely 5 million now, there has been no dilution so how are new buyers finding shares without the price rising considerably?

    The longer Citadel delays this, the more the final bill will grow. The #DTCC has put most of their amendments into effect, so one wonders just how much free reign the #SEC will give Citadel and the 22 other shorts before strongly worded suggestions become more forcibly made directions. I thought in March the situation was a danger to financial stability. At this point I give up worrying about it as it appears officials in Washington have no clue the damage being done. If nothing else, the failure of officials to reign in Citadel all the while the stock is under a huge media spotlight will undermine confidence in the fairness of the market for retail participants. Which in turn will reduce retail activity and hurt longer term profitability for Citadel.

    So stop with the games and get on with popping the cyst.
  • Z
    Z
    $IWM conversation
    "This is the simple reason you can't believe the P/E ratio for the Russell 2000 right now. If you want the real P/E for an index, you NEED TO INCLUDE THOSE COMPANIES THAT ARE LOSING MONEY. (doh!)

    If you answered wrong you're in good company. The two incorrect P/E ratios in my quiz come from very reputable sources: The 17.5 ratio comes from Morningstar's reporting for the iShares Russell 2000 ETF IWM. The 14.1 is what iShares reports for that same ETF.

    Both numbers are significantly below the index's long-term average for the P/E ratio.
    The reason these two firms report such low P/E ratios is that THEIR CALCULATIONS EXCLUDE FIRMS THAT ARE LOSING MONEY. In many years, this exclusion has little impact. But not now, since a significant percentage of the small- and mid-cap firms that are in the Russell 2000 index are losing money. By excluding those firms, the calculations ARTIFICIALLY make the small- and mid-cap sectors APPEAR SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

    In the large-cap sector, in contrast, the prevalence of unprofitable companies is lower, but still not insignificant. Notice from the chart from 10% of the companies in the S&P 500 SPX have lost money over the last 12 months.

    The reason that the Russell 2000's trailing P/E is meaningless is that companies in the benchmark collectively lost money over the last 12 months. As Deluard put it, "the 'real' P/E is meaningless with a negative denominator." Don't try to wriggle out from underneath this conclusion by shifting your focus to ESTIMATED EARNINGS OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS. DELUARD SAYS THE RUSSELL 2000'S FORWARD P/E CURRENTLY STANDS AT 132."

    $IWM $SPY $DJI
  • Z
    Z
    $SPY conversation
    09-22-2021 Tomorrow's headlines today: "Don't Worry Be Happy Market Shrugs off Fears"
    "Market shrugs off the Evergrande, real estate crises, inflation, commodity prices, equity market VALUATIONS, COVID, unemployment, you-name-it fears on "The Fed's got your back" Fed-put-4ever, ZIRP-4ever, QE-4ever, MMT-4ever, TINI(inflation)-4ever, TINA-4ever, FOMO-4ever, YOLO-4ever, BTD/BTFD-4ever, HODL-4ever, Diamond-Hands-4ever, meme-stonks-4ever, short-squeeze-4ever rationale."

    $SPY $DIA $IWM $RWM
  • C
    Chris
    Never seen such a disconnect
    In markets. Tons of mid caps down 60%
    In 2 months.
    Viac
    Down 60% on margin call.
    Top
    3d
    And ev
    Or green names
    Down 60%
    While tons of other stocks
    Sit at highs
    With infinite bids $qqq $iwm even $nndm at cash value being naked shorted
  • B
    Branimir
    $AMC conversation
    Short comment on #AMC. Short's managed to get AMC off the NYSE Threshold list last Friday, not clear exactly how this was done but looks like exposure converted from Fails to Deliver (#FTD) to outright naked shorts and then packaged into the #IWM ETF. I'm really not going to waste more brain power on this. Citadel is a market marker and between them and their "friend" #Virtu control 80% of retail orders. They can more or less dictate price on slow volume days. Allegations of buy orders being delayed as much as 35 days through Citadels data flow. How likely is that? Hard to verify baring an audit, but it is true that dark pool trading accounted for over 65% of volume for the last 5 trading days and over 50% over the last month.

    Meanwhile, retail orders continue to be overwhelmingly buy oriented. The only selling is coming from shorts using the dark pools to mute buying pressure. The short-ladder attacks from last week seem to shifted to a numb inducing slow drip lower.

    The degree of overt manipulation is mind blowing.

    I am told #Citadel employs a team of psych Phd's to design price moves designed to drive retail interest away. The media attacks are clearly not working so the recent price campaign has escalated, driving it from $59 to $39 last week, a brief surge back to $49 and today's slow drip from $46.50 to $42.50 at the close.

    I really think Citadel needs to fire their pysch experts. Most retail is holding and bought large amounts in March. Many likely did sell a small amount in June like I did, to cover their initial investment. For example, I was long at $9.60 and sold at $53.40, enough to cover my buy in and show a decent realized gain. My remaining position is a free rider. The price could go down to $12 and many holders would still be in the money. There were 3.2 million retail holders in March, there are likely 5 million now, there has been no dilution so how are new buyers finding shares without the price rising considerably?

    The longer Citadel delays this, the more the final bill will grow. The #DTCC has put most of their amendments into effect, so one wonders just how much free reign the #SEC will give Citadel and the 22 other shorts before strongly worded suggestions become more forcibly made directions. I thought in March the situation was a danger to financial stability. At this point I give up worrying about it as it appears officials in Washington have no clue the damage being done. If nothing else, the failure of officials to reign in Citadel all the while the stock is under a huge media spotlight will undermine confidence in the fairness of the market for retail participants. Which in turn will reduce retail activity and hurt longer term profitability for Citadel.

    So stop with the games and get on with popping the cyst.
  • S
    Samm
    All 3 major indices breaking out today
    $IWM $QQQ $SPY. Seasonality wise this was the bottom.
    Now small caps to large caps will likely run up till January.. small caps specifically started to move up with some having a big spike recently... Are we gonna see the same pattern this year when small and medium cap companies skyrocketed toward the end of last year, after being hit so badly? My guess is yes, especially for companies that are fundamentally strong like HIMX
  • s
    shkspr
    $IWM is bearish,
    One month in the money Puts are great
  • F
    Francis
    Don’t wanna count my chickens yet but 2-3 green candles on most OTC is looking good. Pretty much all loss harvesters are out, could it be bottom? Tick tock. $TGGI $ILST $OCLG $NOHO $PUGE $IFXY $IGEX $TONR $VNTH $LEAS $MWWC $ICOA

    Crypto: $ZADA $SAITAMAINU

    Option Calls going into next year: $IWM $WISH
  • C
    Chickenstick1
    $SPY conversation
    $QQQ $IWM I think it's quite odd the talking heads on CNBC/ Bloomberg point to "daily" Covid 19 data as a barometer for daily complexion and directionality of the markets, without any regard to the 3-10 day lag in the data. Those who've been tested complain of having to wait 3-10 days to discover their prognosis. In essence, today's headline figures are yesterday's reality. It's possible the curve will flatten 3-10 days before the headline indicates.
  • j
    jimmy
    $IWM $QQQ green pre-market, do we finally see a bounce here?
  • S
    StockBard
    We green baby, Tax loss harvesting almost done, if you sold thinking the OTC was done I’m sorry. 👏🤫🚀 $TGGI $ICOA $ILST $CGAC $NOHO $PUGE Green / $TONR $OCLG $MWWC Predicting green by EOD. $WISH $IWM Calls looking hella good too!!! Don’t forget $ZADA BEST Crypto + BTC Mooning and catalysts = 🤑
  • C
    Chickenstick1
    $SPY conversation
    The bond vigilantes were out in full force yesterday, selling off anything and everything that had an unreasonably high amount of debt.... probably in response to the ignoramuses touting the Modern monetary theory as a rational for more government spending and larger deficits. I'm sure MMT was invented by some shill in an attempt to shift sentiment on WS and instigate the fiscal hawks. I know plenty of lugubrious fund managers and traders dissatisfied with 2019 rally, and are way behind on their short positions in $IWM. I'm not sure I follow their lead. Their theory rely's on this "flight to quality" phenomenon in part caused by Fed rate hikes. And, as the economy grows, the Fed should resume a series of potentially damaging rate hikes, which, ultimately serves as a headwind to many higher debt-holding small cap companies. Only problem is.. that Powell just signaled a more dovish stance moving forward. WS remains hard at work manufacturing the next reason to sell.
  • C
    Coffee Snob
    $IWM conversation
    Looks like $AMC put the $IWM on it's back and is carrying them to green
  • j
    john
    $AI conversation
    Finally off the sidelines and in. 35-45% growth back in line and stock price down here. This tracks the R2K small cap index as many of the other wrecked stocks. After a capitulation day like yesterday these types of stks could bounce mightily today if the futures on $IWM continue to build as they are and more upgrades. GL2A
  • s
    shkspr
    $ATOS conversation
    $ATOS: we are waiting for news, I hope they announce it soon, just we had an update regarding K-8, pay attention to it,
    FYI: $QQQ is neutral to bullish, and this is good for us. I expect a green day tomorrow for Nasdaq, around .50%
    $SPY looks bearish, as I mentioned yesterday it dropped from 393 to 389, huge sell-off, and If I be right, it's just the beginning, tomorrow I expect it bounce up to 391-392, and then fall to 389 and lower key levels,
    $IWM is bearish so if you have small caps, be cautious, I prefer to close them because hedge cost for small caps is too much, I prefer lose some gains and be on cash, I expect it IWM hits 215 and 212,
    DIA: Neutral.
    these are just my ideas, could be wrong 100%. good luck
  • W
    WizardofApeStreet
    Grabbed calls on $MMAT $IWM $WISH For the New Year pump from Jan-April