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  • N
    NEIL
    $CNY=X conversation
    The China Bubble is extremely vulnerable to ANY Trump move against China. The well known, but not talked about publically are China's TBR'S throughout the Chinese Banking system, that are hiding massive losses..estimated in excess of $2 Trillion ...that are not addressed by their Bank regulators....which will result in more negative ratings on Chinese Banks
  • N
    NEIL
    $CNY=X conversation
    13 JAN 2017 LATEST: EU to purchase UNLIMITED Negative RATE BONDS. Amendment: EU 2016/948 point 5 replaced by "Purchase of nominal corporate bonds at a NEGATIVE yield to maturity (or yield to worst) equal to or above the deposit facility rate ARE PERMITTED ....to the extent NESSARY"
  • N
    NEIL
    $CNY=X conversation
    Will China surprise the world and proactively DEVALUE their currency to halt US currency domination, that continues to STRENTHEN DAILY? Nobody believes they will as that will trigger the BURSTING of the $3 Trillion Corporate Bond Bubble and the US Stock market sell off...although there are big bets that Volatility will dramatically pick up BEFORE Trump becomes President.
  • N
    NEIL
    $CNY=X conversation
    Shinzo Abe, after his latest 90 minute November meeting with Donald Trump at Trump Tower in New York, said " I have great confidence in Trump"...since then the YEN and US Japanese relations have been going very well...the exact opposite with China.
  • N
    NEIL
    $CNY=X conversation
    Why would China mis-represent it's currency outflows???
    Has China much LESS than $3 Trillion in reserves???
    Tyler Darden reported:China's $3 Trillion In Reserves Questioned After PBOC Reports $41 BIllion In December Outflows

    Tyler Durden's picture

    by Tyler Durden

    Jan 7, 2017 12:23 PM

    145

    In late December, ignoring the official Chinese monthly reserve data and instead using a dataset provided by China's FX regulator SAFE on cross-border RMB flows and on onshore FX settlements, Goldman calculated the true amount of Chinese FX outflows and found that Beijing has continued to mask the full extent of its capital flight, which in November spiked to $69 billion (well above the reported, currency adjusted number of $34 billion). Furthermore, it found that "since June, this data has continued to suggest significantly larger FX sales by the PBOC than is implied by FX reserve data."

    Even more troubling, Goldman calculated that cumulatively since August 2015 through November 2016, FX outflow totaled roughly US$1.1 trillion, while implied FX sales suggested by PBOC’s FX position (headline reserves after adjusted for currency valuation effect) were approximately US$630bn (US$540bn), indicating that the real rate of reserve depletion was nearly double that represented by PBOC reserve data.

    Exhibit 1: FX outflow picked up to US$69bn in November

    Why would China try to misrepresent the full extent of its currency outflows?
  • J
    Jeffrey
    What's the source of this data?